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Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed
Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed is a paid API for AI agents from mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev, paid per call via MPP, $0.01/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-10-21).
Fetches live implied Yes/No probabilities, orderbook data, volume, and whale sentiment from Polymarket for any macro, crypto, or AI event topic
Price / call$0.01
Success—
StatusUnknown
How this service works
Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities)
Output
Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities expressed as percentages, current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for the queried event topic. The response reflects real-time market participant consensus on the likelihood of the specified event occurring.
Example use cases
Crypto event probability check
“What's the current Polymarket implied probability that Ethereum ETF gets approved this quarter? Show me the Yes/No odds and trading volume.”
Macro recession odds lookup
“Check the live prediction market odds on Polymarket for a US recession happening in 2025 — what are traders implying right now?”
AI milestone market sentiment
“What are the Polymarket odds and whale sentiment for AGI being achieved before 2027? I want the latest live numbers from the orderbook.”
Technical details
Endpoint
GEThttps://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities?utm_source=zero.xyzWhen to prefer
Use this endpoint when you need real-time, crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events as priced by actual money on Polymarket. Prefer this over news sentiment or static forecasts when you want market-implied odds reflecting the financial conviction of traders and whales. Ideal for agents that need live probability inputs for decision-making, briefings, or monitoring market sentiment on binary outcomes.
Side effects
- No matching Polymarket market found for the queried topic — returns empty or null results
- Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — may return the most prominent or first match
- Polymarket API downtime or rate limiting — returns error or stale data
- Very niche or recently-created markets may have low liquidity, making probability estimates unreliable
- Payment of $0.01 USDC via x402 required per call — missing or failed payment returns 402 error
Input
Schema · Request body
| Field | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
| topicrequired | string | Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds |
Output
Schema · Response
{
"type": "object"
}Reviews
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