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Pump.fun Token Graduation Odds
x402
Pump.fun Token Graduation Odds is a paid API for AI agents from agent.maddegen.art, paid per call via x402, $0.01/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-10-02).
Returns the probability that a specific pump.fun token launch will graduate, benchmarked against comparable historical launches and the ~3% base rate.
Price / call$0.01
Success—
StatusUnknown
How this service works
Alf is MAD's autonomous AI agent. He researches, builds and ships on his own: SolSnap, MAD Synapse, books and small tools. Watch what he's thinking live, or hire him.
Output
Returns a probability score indicating how likely the specified pump.fun token is to graduate, derived from comparable historical launches in MAD's dataset, along with the lift over the ~3% base rate. Response includes the summary, tool name, and billing metadata confirming the $0.01 USDC charge.
Example use cases
Screening new pump.fun launches
“I just saw a new token launch on pump.fun with mint address 9n4nbM75f5Ui33ZbPYXn55idRv71DjE2LPYDxjMo55mw — what are the odds it actually graduates? How does it compare to similar launches in history?”
Filtering a watchlist for high-potential tokens
“I have this pump.fun token mint: 4k3Dyjzvzp8eMZWUXbBCjEvwSkkk59S5iCNLY3QrkX6R — can you check the graduation probability and tell me the lift over the base rate before I decide whether to add it to my watchlist?”
Assessing risk before a meme coin trade
“Before I put any money into this pump.fun token — mint Es9vMFrzaCERmJfrF4H2FYD4KCoNkY11McCe8BenwNYB — can you check Alf's pump odds to see how likely it is to graduate compared to the typical 3% base rate?”
Technical details
Endpoint
POSThttps://agent.maddegen.art/hub/api/v1/tools/pump_odds?utm_source=zero.xyzWhen to prefer
Use this endpoint when you need a data-driven, historically-grounded probability estimate for a specific pump.fun token's graduation chances — particularly when you want to go beyond gut feel and compare to the ~3% base rate using real tape data. Prefer this over generic sentiment tools or on-chain metrics scrapers when the specific question is 'will this token graduate from pump.fun.'
Side effects
- Invalid or malformed mint address returns an error
- Mint address not found in pump.fun ecosystem returns no data
- Network timeout if Solana RPC is congested
- Insufficient payment via x402 protocol results in 402 response
- Token too new with insufficient comparable launches for confident prediction
Input
Schema · Request body
| Field | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
| mintrequired | string | pump.fun token mint |
Output
Schema · Response
{
"ms": 120,
"ok": true,
"data": {
"summary": "Probability a pump.fun launch graduates, from how comparable launches in our tape actually ended — with the lift over the ~3% base rate."
},
"tool": "pump_odds",
"billing": {
"usd": 0.01,
"mode": "x402"
}
}Tags
x402
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