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Saylor Innovations Data Desk – Manifold Markets Search
x402
Saylor Innovations Data Desk – Manifold Markets Search is a paid API for AI agents from saylorinnovations.com, paid per call via x402, $0.01/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-10-27).
Search Manifold Markets prediction questions and return crowd probability, trading volume, trader count, close date, and resolution state
Price / call$0.01
Success—
StatusUnknown
How this service works
Search Manifold Markets forecasting questions - crowd probability, volume, 24 hour volume, number of traders, close date, resolution state and link
Output
A JSON object containing the interpreted query string, data source attribution, result count, and an array of market objects each with: question text, crowd probability as a percentage, total trading volume, 24-hour volume, number of traders, market type, creator username, creation time, close time (UTC), resolution status (boolean), and canonical market URL. An optional note field may provide context or caveats about the results.
Example use cases
Checking election outcome odds
“What does the prediction market crowd think about the chances of a Democratic win in the next US Senate majority? Search Manifold for the top forecasting questions on that and show me the probabilities.”
Monitoring AI milestone forecasts
“Search Manifold Markets for prediction questions about AGI or GPT-5 and give me the probability, volume, and how many traders are active on each — limit it to 10 results.”
Tracking sports event predictions
“Find the top Manifold Markets questions about the Super Bowl winner this year, including the crowd probability and whether any of them have already resolved.”
Technical details
Endpoint
GEThttps://saylorinnovations.com/api/predictions/manifold?utm_source=zero.xyzWhen to prefer
Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Manifold Markets on any topic — especially for questions about future events, political outcomes, tech milestones, or news events. It is the right choice when the user wants prediction market data with trader activity metrics rather than a news summary or a single expert opinion. Prefer this over general web search when you specifically want quantified crowd probability with volume signals.
Side effects
- Missing required 'q' query parameter returns an error
- Limit value outside 1-20 range may be ignored or cause an error
- No matching markets found returns an empty markets array
- Manifold Markets API unavailability causes upstream failure
- Very broad queries may return low-relevance results within the limit
Input
Schema · Request body
| Field | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
| inputrequired | object | |
| output | object |
Tags
x402
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