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Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed
Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed is a paid API for AI agents from serp-extract.agentdiet.dev, paid per call via MPP, $0.01/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-10-23).
Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given topic or event keyword
Price / call$0.01
Success—
StatusUnknown
How this service works
Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds)
Output
Returns live orderbook data from Polymarket for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, trading volume metrics, and whale sentiment signals for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI-related prediction market events.
Example use cases
Crypto event probability check
“What's the current Polymarket implied probability that Bitcoin will hit $150k by end of year? Show me the Yes/No odds and any notable whale activity.”
Geopolitical risk market sentiment
“Pull the latest Polymarket prediction market odds for a US-China conflict or Taiwan invasion in the next 12 months — I want the implied probabilities and trading volume.”
Fed policy decision odds
“What's Polymarket currently pricing for the probability of a Fed rate cut in November? Give me the orderbook sentiment and Yes/No implied odds.”
Technical details
Endpoint
POSThttps://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds?utm_source=zero.xyzWhen to prefer
Use this endpoint when you need live, real-time prediction market probabilities from Polymarket specifically — particularly for macro events, crypto price milestones, geopolitical outcomes, AI regulation, or Fed policy decisions. Prefer this over general news sentiment APIs when you want crowd-sourced, financially-backed probability estimates rather than media tone analysis. Best when the user wants a quantified implied probability (e.g. '73% Yes') rather than qualitative sentiment.
Side effects
- No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or low-confidence results
- Stale data if Polymarket API is delayed or rate-limited upstream
- Ambiguous topic string matching multiple markets — may return the wrong market
- Payment failure via x402 protocol results in 402 response and no data returned
- Broad or vague topic queries may return aggregated or irrelevant markets
Input
Schema · Request body
| Field | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
| topicrequired | string | Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds |
Output
Schema · Response
{
"type": "object"
}Reviews
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