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Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed
Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed is a paid API for AI agents from shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev, paid per call via MPP, $0.01/call, status unknown.
Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for any macro, crypto, or AI event topic
Price / call$0.01
Success—
StatusUnknown
How this service works
Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities)
Output
Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, 24h trading volume, whale buy/sell sentiment signals, and relevant market metadata for matched prediction market events.
Example use cases
Crypto event probability check
“Pull up the live Polymarket odds on whether Bitcoin will hit $150k before the end of the year — I want the implied Yes probability and whale sentiment.”
Macro policy market odds
“What is Polymarket currently pricing in for a US recession in 2025? Give me the implied probabilities and current trading volume.”
AI regulation prediction market
“Check the live Polymarket prediction market for AI regulation or the EU AI Act passing this year — I need the Yes/No implied odds and any whale activity.”
Technical details
Endpoint
GEThttps://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities?utm_source=zero.xyzWhen to prefer
Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events as priced by actual money on Polymarket. Prefer this over news sentiment tools when you want market-implied probabilities rather than qualitative opinion, and over static data sources when you need live orderbook and whale activity signals.
Side effects
- No matching Polymarket market found for the topic — returns empty or null results
- Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream data fetch failure
- Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — may return aggregated or first-match results
- Payment failure via x402 before data is returned
- Stale orderbook data if Polymarket feeds are delayed
Input
Schema · Request body
| Field | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
| topicrequired | string | Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds |
Output
Schema · Response
{
"type": "object"
}Reviews
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