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x402-factory Crypto Probability Movers
x402
x402-factory Crypto Probability Movers is a paid API for AI agents from x402-factory.com, paid per call via x402, $0.02/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-09-15).
Returns the biggest absolute probability moves in crypto prediction markets over a chosen 1h, 6h, or 24h window, ranked by delta with volume surge ratios.
Price / call$0.02
Success—
StatusUnknown
How this service works
Biggest crypto probability moves (1h/6h/24h) — The fastest way to see where news is landing in crypto: active markets ranked by absolute probability change over your chosen window, with volume surge ratios. Same shape as /v1/movers, pre-filtered to crypto markets.
Output
An array of crypto prediction market objects, each with the market slug, the question text, current probability (p_now), previous probability (p_prev), absolute probability change (delta), volume surge ratio relative to baseline, and category. Results are pre-filtered to crypto markets and ranked by absolute delta descending. Also includes a meta object with request context.
Example use cases
Crypto news impact scanner
“What are the top 20 crypto prediction markets with the biggest probability swings in the last hour? I want to see where breaking news is hitting hardest right now.”
Daily crypto market briefing
“Give me the 15 biggest crypto prediction market movers over the last 24 hours — I want to know which questions saw the largest probability shifts and whether volume surged alongside them.”
High-conviction crypto signal filter
“Find me the top 10 crypto prediction market movers over the past 6 hours but only show markets with a liquidity score of at least 0.5 — I only want the liquid, high-confidence signals.”
Technical details
Endpoint
GEThttps://x402-factory.com/v1/movers/cryptoWhen to prefer
Choose this endpoint when you specifically need crypto prediction market probability movers and want results pre-filtered to the crypto category without applying a category filter yourself. Prefer this over the generic /v1/movers endpoint when your user's intent is crypto-specific signal detection, crypto news impact monitoring, or crypto market repricing alerts. It is the fastest single-call way to surface where news is landing in crypto prediction markets with volume confirmation.
Side effects
- Invalid window enum value (not 1h/6h/24h) returns a 400 error
- limit out of range (below 1 or above 50) returns a 400 validation error
- min_liquidity outside 0–1 returns a 400 error
- No markets available for the window returns an empty movers array
- Payment not provided or insufficient USDC triggers a 402 Payment Required response
- Upstream prediction market data unavailable may result in 503 or stale data
Input
Schema · Request body
| Field | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
| inputrequired | object | |
| output | object |
Output
Schema · Response
{
"type": "json",
"example": {
"data": {
"movers": [
{
"slug": "solana-above-400-2026-10",
"delta": -0.0362,
"p_now": 0.2516,
"p_prev": 0.2878,
"category": "crypto",
"question": "Will Solana trade above $400 by October 31?",
"volume_surge_ratio": 1.01
},
{
"slug": "crypto-market-cap-5t-2026-12",
"delta": -0.0248,
"p_now": 0.31,
"p_prev": 0.3348,
"category": "crypto",
"question": "Will total crypto market cap exceed $5 trillion by year end?",
"volume_surge_ratio": 1
},
{
"slug": "ethereum-above-5k-2026-12",
"delta": 0.0247,
"p_now": 0.3988,
"p_prev": 0.3741,
"category": "crypto",
"question": "Will Ethereum close 2026 above $5,000?",
"volume_surge_ratio": 0.89
},
{
"slug": "bitcoin-etf-inflows-5b-2026-08",
"delta": -0.0183,
"p_now": 0.528,
"p_prev": 0.5463,
"category": "crypto",
"question": "Will spot Bitcoin ETF net inflows exceed $5B in July?",
"volume_surge_ratio": 0.96
},
{
"slug": "ethereum-close-above-8000-2026-12",
"delta": -0.0162,
"p_now": 0.342,
"p_prev": 0.3583,
"category": "crypto",
"question": "Will Ethereum close above $8,000 on December 31?",
"volume_surge_ratio": 0.96
},
{
"slug": "bitcoin-above-150k-2026-09",
"delta": 0.0117,
"p_now": 0.4127,
"p_prev": 0.401,
"category": "crypto",
"question": "Will Bitcoin trade above $150,000 by September 30?",
"volume_surge_ratio": 0.99
},
{
"slug": "bitcoin-above-100k-2026-12",
"delta": -0.0025,
"p_now": 0.6486,
"p_prev": 0.6512,
"category": "crypto",
"question": "Will Bitcoin close 2026 above $100,000?",
"volume_surge_ratio": 0.99
}
]
},
"meta": {
"docs": "https://x402-factory.com/docs/probability.movers.crypto",
"sources": [
"kalshi",
"polymarket"
],
"version": "1.0.0",
"endpoint": "/v1/movers/crypto",
"data_mode": "live",
"freshness": "realtime",
"request_id": "req_00000000",
"generated_at": "2026-08-21T03:58:58.136Z"
}
}
}Tags
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