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x402-factory Next NFP Above Consensus Probability
x402
x402-factory Next NFP Above Consensus Probability is a paid API for AI agents from x402-factory.com, paid per call via x402, $0.02/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-09-14).
Returns the live prediction-market probability that the next nonfarm payrolls (NFP) report will beat consensus expectations, aggregated from venues like Kalshi and Polymarket.
Price / call$0.02
Success—
StatusUnknown
How this service works
Paid data APIs for AI agents: prediction-market analytics, weather intelligence, weather×market edge signals, and SEC/gov data. Paid endpoints use the x402 protocol (HTTP 402 + USDC on Base): call without payment to receive requirements, retry with an X-PAYMENT header. Machine-readable catalog: /llms.txt. Per-endpoint docs: /docs/{id}.
Output
Returns a JSON object containing the aggregated implied probability (e.g. 0.4628) that the next NFP report beats consensus, broken down by prediction market venue (Kalshi, Polymarket) with per-venue implied probability, market ID, 24h USD volume, and liquidity score. Also includes the 1-hour price move, divergence across venues, resolution date, roll-to-next date, and metadata about data freshness and sources.
Example use cases
Pre-release jobs report positioning
“What's the current market-implied probability that the next NFP print beats consensus? I want to know if Kalshi and Polymarket are pricing in a beat before the release.”
Macro dashboard signal update
“Pull the latest prediction market probability for the next jobs report beating expectations — I need the implied probability, 1-hour move, and which venues are contributing.”
Economic surprise monitoring
“Is the market's view on the next NFP beating consensus moving? Give me the current probability and tell me if it's shifted meaningfully in the last hour.”
Technical details
Endpoint
GEThttps://x402-factory.com/v1/evergreen/next-nfp-above-consensusWhen to prefer
Use this endpoint when you need a real-time, aggregated prediction-market probability specifically for the next NFP report beating consensus, sourced from multiple venues (Kalshi, Polymarket) with liquidity scoring. Prefer this over scraping individual market sites, manually checking Kalshi, or using lagged economic forecasts. It is ideal for macro-aware AI agents that need a single authoritative number on labor market sentiment before a jobs release.
Side effects
- Payment not provided: returns HTTP 402 with X-PAYMENT-REQUIRED header detailing USDC amount and Base chain payment details
- No active market found: may return empty per_venue array if no prediction market is currently listed for the next NFP event
- Stale data: if upstream venues are temporarily unavailable, freshness field may lag behind real-time
- Invalid or malformed request: returns 4xx error if headers are malformed
Input
Schema · Request body
| Field | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
| properties | string |
Output
Schema · Response
{
"type": "json",
"example": {
"data": {
"slug": "nfp-beat-august-2026",
"topic": "next-nfp-above-consensus",
"category": "economics",
"question": "Will the August 2026 jobs report beat consensus expectations?",
"per_venue": [
{
"venue": "kalshi",
"implied_p": 0.4628,
"market_id": "KXNFPBEATAUGUST2",
"volume_24h_usd": 35595.57,
"liquidity_score": 0.836
}
],
"divergence": 0,
"probability": 0.4628,
"current_slug": "nfp-beat-august-2026",
"last_move_1h": 0.0043,
"topic_question": "Will the next jobs report beat consensus?",
"resolution_date": "2026-09-04",
"rolls_to_next_at": "2026-09-04",
"resolution_criteria_summary": "Resolves YES if nonfarm payrolls exceed the surveyed consensus estimate."
},
"meta": {
"docs": "https://x402-factory.com/docs/probability.evergreen.next-nfp-above-consensus",
"sources": [
"kalshi",
"polymarket"
],
"version": "1.0.0",
"endpoint": "/v1/evergreen/next-nfp-above-consensus",
"data_mode": "live",
"freshness": "realtime",
"request_id": "req_00000000",
"generated_at": "2026-08-21T03:58:58.094Z"
}
}
}Tags
x402
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