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x402Pulse Polymarket Smart Money Disagreements
x402
x402Pulse Polymarket Smart Money Disagreements is a paid API for AI agents from www.x402pulse.dev, paid per call via x402, $0.175/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-10-12).
Scans the 30 busiest open Polymarket markets every 15 minutes and returns those where skilled traders' implied probabilities diverge significantly from the listed odds, with confidence ratings.
Price / call$0.175
Success—
StatusUnknown
How this service works
Polymarket markets where smart money disagrees with the odds: scans the 30 busiest open markets every 15 minutes and returns those where skilled traders' money implies a different probability than the price, tempered against thin evidence, with a low, medium or high confidence rating. Data, not investment advice.
Output
A list of Polymarket markets (up to the requested limit) where skilled traders' weighted positions imply a meaningfully different probability than the current market odds, each entry including the market name, category, smart-money implied probability, current market price/probability, magnitude of disagreement, and a low/medium/high confidence rating reflecting the strength of evidence behind the signal.
Example use cases
Crypto market mispricing alerts
“Pull up any crypto Polymarket markets where smart money is significantly disagreeing with the current odds — give me up to 5 and flag which ones are high confidence.”
Political election market edge detection
“Are there any political Polymarket markets right now where skilled traders are betting against the listed probability? Show me up to 10 with their confidence ratings.”
Sports prediction market fading signals
“Check if any sports markets on Polymarket have top traders implying a very different probability than what's priced in — I want to see the disagreement score and confidence level.”
Technical details
Endpoint
GEThttps://www.x402pulse.dev/v1/disagreements?utm_source=zero.xyzWhen to prefer
Use this endpoint when you need a pre-filtered, confidence-rated signal of smart money vs. market price divergence on Polymarket, updated every 15 minutes, without having to scan all markets yourself. Prefer this over raw Polymarket data when the goal is actionable disagreement signals from skilled traders, not raw volume or price data. If you need a specific trader's scorecard or the leaderboard, use sibling endpoints instead.
Side effects
- No markets currently show significant smart money disagreement — returns empty list
- Category filter yields no qualifying markets at scan time
- limit parameter out of range (must be 1–20) returns validation error
- Stale data if Polymarket API is temporarily unavailable — results may lag beyond 15-minute refresh
- category enum value not recognized returns 400 error
Input
Schema · Request body
| Field | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
| inputrequired | object | |
| output | object |
Output
Schema · Response
{
"type": "json",
"example": {
"data": {
"markets": [
{
"gap": 0.19,
"slug": "example-market",
"summary": "Market prices Yes at 38%; skilled money implies 57%, leaning Yes (medium confidence, 4 skilled holders).",
"category": "politics",
"priceYes": 0.38,
"question": "Example market?",
"confidence": "medium",
"skilledUsd": 120000,
"skilledHolders": 4,
"skilledYesShare": 0.57,
"rawSkilledYesShare": 0.81
}
],
"category": null,
"scannedAt": "2026-10-05T12:00:00.000Z",
"marketsScanned": 30
},
"cached": true
}
}Tags
x402
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