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Crypto Forecast Range & Upside Probability
x402
Crypto Forecast Range & Upside Probability is a paid API for AI agents from crypto.forgemesh.io, paid per call via x402, $0.05/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-09-13).
Returns a conformally-calibrated 80% price interval, current price, and upside probability for BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, or ADA.
Price / call$0.05
Success—
StatusUnknown
How this service works
Returns a conformally-calibrated range_80 price interval (~80% empirical coverage) plus current_price and upside_probability for BTC/ETH/SOL/XRP/ADA — use the range for planning instead of a single point prediction.
Output
Returns a JSON object with: symbol, range_80 (object with lower and upper price bounds calibrated for ~80% empirical coverage), current_price, upside_probability (float 0-1), and why_not_high (array of factors limiting upside). Designed for planning against a range rather than a point estimate.
Example use cases
Example prompt
“What's the calibrated 80% price range and upside probability for ETH right now — I want the interval, not just a single price target.”
Technical details
Endpoint
GEThttps://crypto.forgemesh.io/api/kronos/forecastWhen to prefer
Use this endpoint when you need a probabilistic price range rather than a point forecast, especially for position sizing, risk management, or planning thresholds. Prefer this over a single-price prediction endpoint when calibrated coverage and upside probability are needed. Best for BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, or ADA; not for stocks or other assets.
Side effects
- Unsupported symbol provided — only BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, ADA are accepted
- Missing or malformed symbol query parameter returns error
- Payment failure (x402) if USDC payment not processed correctly
- Stale data if underlying signal pipeline lags — check data_freshness on companion endpoint
- Network timeout if upstream data sources are unavailable
Input
Schema · Request body
| Field | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
| inputrequired | object | |
| output | object |
Output
Schema · Response
{
"type": "json",
"example": {
"symbol": "BTC/USD",
"horizon": "~5h",
"range_80": {
"low": 60275,
"high": 62806,
"method": "conformal",
"coverage_target": 0.8
},
"why_not_high": [
"The calibrated interval is designed for approximate coverage, not certainty; some realized prices can still land outside the range."
],
"current_price": 61234.5,
"upside_probability": 0.52
}
}Tags
x402
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