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Kronos Conformally-Calibrated Crypto Price Forecast
x402
Kronos Conformally-Calibrated Crypto Price Forecast is a paid API for AI agents from x402.coinopai.com, paid per call via x402, $0.05/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-09-15).
Returns an honest 80% prediction interval (range_80), point return estimate, and upside probability for BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, or ADA using conformal calibration.
Price / call$0.05
Success—
StatusUnknown
How this service works
Kronos by ForgeMesh calibrated crypto price forecast for BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, and ADA. Returns its forecast horizon, current price, conformal 80% price range, point return, and upside probability for risk-aware autonomous agent planning. Updates hourly; paid in USDC on Base via x402.
Output
Returns the ticker symbol, a range_80 object representing the empirically-calibrated 80% prediction interval for price movement, a point return estimate (noted as having no demonstrated directional edge), and an upside_probability float between 0 and 1 indicating the likelihood of a positive return.
Example use cases
Example prompt
“What's the Kronos conformally-calibrated 80% price prediction interval and upside probability for BTC right now?”
Technical details
Endpoint
GEThttps://x402.coinopai.com/api/kronos/forecastWhen to prefer
Choose this endpoint when you need a statistically honest, calibrated uncertainty range for crypto price forecasts rather than a point prediction or directional signal. It is ideal for risk-aware agents that need to communicate uncertainty bounds to users, construct position sizing logic, or audit forecast reliability. Prefer it over raw directional signals when the agent must convey 'what range of outcomes is plausible' rather than 'which direction will price move'.
Side effects
- Unsupported symbol returns an error — only BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, ADA are supported
- Missing symbol query parameter may return a default or error response
- Payment failure (402) if USDC payment is not provided or is insufficient
- Service unavailability returns 5xx if the Kronos model pipeline is down
- Stale data if the underlying market data feed has not refreshed recently
Input
{
"input": {
"type": "http",
"method": "GET",
"queryParams": {
"symbol": "BTC"
}
}
}Schema · Request body
| Field | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
| inputrequired | object | |
| output | object |
Output
{
"ts": "2026-06-12T04:07:13.582309+00:00",
"method": "range_80 is a conformally-calibrated 80% prediction interval (empirical coverage ~0.80 on 1,030 backtest outcomes; k=C·√h, C=0.00924). Directional point_return has NO demonstrated edge — use the range, not the direction.",
"regime": "unknown",
"symbol": "BTC/USD",
"horizon": "~5h",
"range_80": {
"low": 61676,
"high": 64295,
"method": "conformal",
"k_return": 0.0207,
"coverage_target": 0.8
},
"horizon_bars": 5,
"point_return": -0.00591,
"current_price": 63359.9,
"model_version": "kronos-mini-2k@v1",
"data_freshness": "FRESH",
"signal_age_hours": 0.16,
"upside_probability": 0.062,
"not_financial_advice": true,
"volatility_amplification": 0.306
}Schema · Response
{
"type": "json",
"example": {
"symbol": "BTC/USD",
"horizon": "~5h",
"range_80": {
"low": 60275,
"high": 62806,
"method": "conformal",
"coverage_target": 0.8
},
"why_not_high": [
"The calibrated interval is designed for approximate coverage, not certainty; some realized prices can still land outside the range."
],
"current_price": 61234.5,
"upside_probability": 0.52
}
}Tags
x402
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