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Kronos Trade Decision Engine
x402
Kronos Trade Decision Engine is a paid API for AI agents from x402.coinopai.com, paid per call via x402, $0.15/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-09-14).
Returns a probabilistic trade decision (CONSIDER_LONG/SHORT/NO_ACTION) with confidence score, market regime, and a decision_id for later audit verification
Price / call$0.15
Success—
StatusUnknown
How this service works
Kronos by ForgeMesh auditable crypto market-intelligence journal combining directional bias, anomaly review, calibrated confidence, and verification in one record with a decision_id. Pair with Kronos Audit to measure the later outcome. Market intelligence only.
Output
Returns a JSON object with suggested_action (CONSIDER_LONG, CONSIDER_SHORT, or NO_ACTION), a numeric confidence score (0-1), the current market regime, a decision_id string for auditing the outcome later, and a next_step object indicating recommended follow-up actions in the preflight→decision→audit loop.
Example use cases
Example prompt
“What's the Kronos trade decision for BTC right now — should I go long, short, or hold, and how confident is the signal?”
Technical details
Endpoint
GEThttps://x402.coinopai.com/api/kronos/decisionWhen to prefer
Use this endpoint when you need a single, auditable, probabilistic trade direction signal for a specific crypto asset with a confidence score and the ability to verify the outcome later via the /kronos/audit endpoint. Prefer this over generic price feeds when you need a decision (not just data) and when accountability/auditability of the signal is important. Best used as the second step in the full preflight→decision→audit loop.
Side effects
- Missing or invalid symbol parameter returns an error or default response
- Symbol not supported by Kronos returns empty or error result
- Payment not completed (402) blocks the response
- Market data unavailable causes degraded confidence or NO_ACTION fallback
- Rate limiting or cooldown state from risk engine returns restricted response
Input
{
"input": {
"type": "http",
"method": "GET",
"queryParams": {
"symbol": "BTC"
}
}
}Schema · Request body
| Field | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
| inputrequired | object | |
| output | object |
Output
{
"note": "Directional calls have NO demonstrated edge (≈51% accurate, n=1030; confidence reflects this, not signal magnitude). The validated product is calibrated_range_80 — a conformal 80% price interval (~0.80 empirical coverage). Use the range; verify any directional call via /audit.",
"regime": "chop",
"symbol": "BTC/USD",
"certainty": "PROBABILISTIC",
"next_step": {
"cost": "$0.07 USDC",
"action": "Call /kronos/audit with this decision_id after your evaluation window to verify the outcome against real prices",
"endpoint": "/api/kronos/audit?decision_id=85074c49-4252-4ed5-8a0d-eae6f5dd30ce&window=1h",
"expected_outcomes": [
"GOOD_DECISION",
"BAD_DIRECTION",
"NOISE",
"NO_ACTION_TAKEN"
]
},
"signal_ts": "2026-06-18T04:01:15.320768+00:00",
"backtest_n": 1030,
"confidence": 0.51,
"raw_signal": 0.00534,
"risk_level": "NORMAL",
"decision_id": "85074c49-4252-4ed5-8a0d-eae6f5dd30ce",
"data_quality": {
"data_source": "kraken_1h",
"last_bar_ts": "2026-06-18T04:00:00+00:00",
"bars_available": 168,
"data_freshness_minutes": 0.5
},
"score_details": {
"price": 64226.1,
"macro_mod": 1,
"conviction": 53.5,
"inst_score": 0,
"kronos_pct": 0.534,
"tech_score": -0.253,
"thresholds": {
"min_conviction_to_enter": 60,
"strong_signal_abs_score": 0.01,
"min_abs_kronos_pct_to_act": 0.5,
"moderate_signal_abs_score": 0.005
},
"decision_basis": "Kronos +0.534% | conviction 53.5 | technical -0.253 | institutional 0.000 | macro 1.00. Weights: Kronos 40%, institutional 30%, technical 20%, macro 10%.",
"interpretation": "weak_or_mixed_signal",
"component_weights": {
"macro": 0.1,
"kronos": 0.4,
"technical": 0.2,
"institutional": 0.3
},
"component_contributions": {
"macro": 0.1,
"kronos": 0.0214,
"technical": -0.0506,
"institutional": 0
}
},
"data_freshness": "RECENT",
"risk_disclosure": {
"market_risk": "Crypto markets are volatile and can result in total loss",
"intended_use": "Experimental agent workflows only",
"model_uncertainty": "Signals are probabilistic and may be incorrect",
"not_financial_advice": true
},
"signal_strength": 0.445,
"directional_edge": "none_demonstrated",
"signal_age_hours": 0.99,
"suggested_action": "CONSIDER_LONG",
"action_thresholds": {
"stale_signal_age_hours": 2,
"consider_long_raw_signal_gt": 0.005,
"consider_short_raw_signal_lt": -0.005
},
"available_symbols": [
"BTC/USD",
"ETH/USD",
"SOL/USD",
"XRP/USD",
"ADA/USD",
"DOT/USD",
"LINK/USD",
"AVAX/USD",
"DOGE/USD",
"ATOM/USD",
"LTC/USD",
"BCH/USD",
"UNI/USD",
"AAVE/USD",
"ARB/USD",
"ALGO/USD",
"STX/USD",
"AAPL",
"MSFT",
"NVDA",
"TSLA",
"AMZN",
"META",
"GOOGL",
"AMD",
"JPM",
"XOM",
"SPY",
"QQQ",
"GLD",
"TLT",
"SLV",
"GDX",
"AXP",
"OXY",
"CVX",
"KHC",
"LLY",
"AVGO"
],
"position_guidance": {
"note": "Size conservatively — probabilistic model uncertainty applies",
"max_allocation": 0.05,
"max_risk_per_trade": 0.01
},
"calibrated_range_80": {
"low": 62642,
"high": 65282,
"method": "conformal",
"k_return": 0.0207,
"coverage_target": 0.8
},
"decision_explanation": "BTC/USD: raw signal 0.534%, conviction 53.5, freshness RECENT, risk NORMAL. Latest bar 2026-06-18T04:00:00+00:00 from kraken_1h. Action is CONSIDER_LONG because the raw signal cleared the +0.5% action threshold. Use score_details and risk gates before sizing.",
"empirical_dir_accuracy": 0.51
}Schema · Response
{
"type": "json",
"example": {
"symbol": "BTC/USD",
"verified": true,
"next_step": {
"cost": "$0.07",
"review_step": "Call /kronos/audit after 1h to verify"
},
"confidence": 0.514,
"decision_id": "uuid",
"why_not_high": [
"Directional confidence is intentionally capped by observed historical accuracy, not boosted by signal magnitude."
],
"anomaly_level": "normal",
"anomaly_score": 14,
"agreement_score": 93,
"risk_disclosure": {
"no_trade_instruction": true,
"not_financial_advice": true,
"market_intelligence_only": true
},
"directional_bias": "upward",
"anomaly_review_label": "ignore",
"calibrated_confidence": 51,
"market_intelligence_only": true
}
}Tags
x402
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