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Mycelia Signal ETH Options Risk-Neutral Distribution Oracle
x402
Mycelia Signal ETH Options Risk-Neutral Distribution Oracle is a paid API for AI agents from api.myceliasignal.com, paid per call via x402, $0.5/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-10-13).
Returns ETH risk-neutral price distributions at 12 time horizons derived via Breeden-Litzenberger from SVI implied volatility surfaces, with quantiles, directional probabilities, sigma ranges, skewness, and Ed25519-signed attestation
Price / call$0.5
Success—
StatusUnknown
How this service works
ETH risk-neutral price distributions at 12 horizons via Breeden-Litzenberger from SVI surfaces — quantiles, P(up/down 10/20%), sigma ranges, skewness — Ed25519 signed attestation
Output
A structured response containing ETH risk-neutral price distributions at 12 time horizons, each including quantile values, probability of 10% and 20% up/down moves, sigma ranges, and skewness, all derived via Breeden-Litzenberger methodology from SVI implied volatility surfaces. The entire payload is accompanied by an Ed25519-signed attestation for cryptographic verifiability.
Example use cases
ETH tail risk assessment for portfolio
“What's the current market-implied probability that ETH drops 20% or more over the next month and quarter? I need the risk-neutral distribution with skewness and signed attestation so I can document it for our risk committee.”
Options-implied ETH sentiment dashboard
“Pull the latest ETH risk-neutral price distribution from the options market — I want to see the quantiles, up/down probabilities at 10% and 20%, and skewness across all available time horizons so I can update our sentiment dashboard.”
On-chain verifiable ETH forecast for smart contract
“I need a cryptographically signed attestation of the current ETH risk-neutral price distribution from options — specifically the Breeden-Litzenberger-derived quantiles and directional probabilities — so I can feed it into an on-chain protocol that verifies Ed25519 signatures.”
Technical details
Endpoint
GEThttps://api.myceliasignal.com/oracle/prediction/options/eth?utm_source=zero.xyzWhen to prefer
Choose this endpoint when you need market-implied (risk-neutral) ETH price probability distributions derived rigorously from options markets via Breeden-Litzenberger, rather than model-based or historical forecasts. Ideal when you require cryptographic attestation (Ed25519) for on-chain use, compliance documentation, or agent-to-agent trust. Prefer over simpler price feeds when you need distributional information (quantiles, skewness, tail probabilities) rather than a point estimate.
Side effects
- Options market data unavailable or stale — distribution cannot be computed
- Payment not received (x402 protocol) — endpoint returns 402 Payment Required
- SVI surface fitting fails for certain horizons — partial results or error for affected horizons
- Ed25519 signing service failure — response returned unsigned
- Rate limiting or provider downtime — 503 or 429 response
Input
Schema · Request body
| Field | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
| inputrequired | object | |
| output | object |
Tags
x402
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