TradeOS Forecast Path Context

x402

TradeOS Forecast Path Context is a paid API for AI agents from tradeos.tech, paid per call via x402, $0.45/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-09-13).

Returns explanation of a crypto forecast's target zone and multi-day realization context for a given token or signal.

Price / call$0.45

Seller volume →—

Success—

StatusUnknown

Output

A JSON object containing the target-zone explanation for the specified token or signal, along with multi-day realization context, forecast path rationale, supporting reasons, and freshness metadata — all read-only research output with no trade instructions.

Example use cases

Example prompt

“Can you pull the TradeOS forecast path context for ETH — I want to understand the target-zone explanation and the multi-day realization context behind its current signal?”

Technical details

Endpoint

POSThttps://tradeos.tech/x402/v1/intelligence/tradeos-forecast-path-context

When to prefer

Use this endpoint when you need to understand the reasoning and multi-day realization path behind a specific crypto forecast target zone, as opposed to just the signal itself. Prefer this over the general intelligence endpoint when the user specifically wants forecast explanation and path context rather than a broad market snapshot or new signal discovery.

Side effects

Unknown token symbol or contract returns a 404 or empty result
Stale or unavailable forecast data returns a freshness warning
Invalid signal ID returns a validation error
Payment not settled via x402 returns a 402 Payment Required
Malformed request body returns a 400 Bad Request

Input

{
  "input": {
    "body": {
      "output": "json",
      "symbol": "ETH",
      "chain_id": "1",
      "metadata": {
        "request_type": "path_context"
      }
    },
    "type": "http",
    "method": "POST",
    "bodyType": "json"
  }
}

Schema · Request body

Field	Type	Description
inputrequired	object
output	object

Output

{
  "details": {
    "forecast": {
      "available": false,
      "unavailable_reason": "source service returned not found"
    },
    "human_summary": {
      "headline": "Insufficient data for a model-implied target zone.",
      "data_gaps": [
        "Price forecast.",
        "Forecast target zone.",
        "Forecast bound signal quality.",
        "Evaluation 24h."
      ],
      "builder_use": "Use as a forecast explainer and multi-day path context layer; keep execution, sizing, leverage, and stop placement outside this public service.",
      "score_notes": [
        "Signal-quality band: Unresolved historical target follow-through."
      ],
      "verdict_label": "Insufficient data",
      "thesis_tracking": {
        "recheck_cadence": "Recheck after new bars arrive and at the 1d, 3d, and 7d follow-up windows.",
        "continuous_use_note": "Forecast follow-up is a path check; the thesis can track, drift, or invalidate over time."
      },
      "product_primitive": "Forecast follow-up",
      "what_needs_review": [
        "Signal-quality source is unavailable.",
        "Signal-quality evidence is unresolved.",
        "Price-forecaster output is unavailable.",
        "Price forecast source unavailable: source service returned not found.",
        "Signal-quality source unavailable: unknown."
      ],
      "realization_windows": [
        {
          "window": "24h",
          "samples": 0
        },
        {
          "window": "3d",
          "samples": 5,
          "hit_ratio": "60%"
        },
        {
          "window": "7d",
          "samples": 2,
          "hit_ratio": "50%"
        }
      ],
      "target_zone_context": {
        "quality_caveat": "Realization quality should be interpreted as validation evidence, not an execution signal.",
        "nominal_horizon": "24h",
        "realization_window_context": "3d: 60% hit ratio over 5 samples; 7d: 50% hit ratio over 2 samples."
      },
      "what_is_constructive": [
        "Multi-day forecast evaluation windows are available: 3d n=5, 7d n=2."
      ],
      "selected_route_reason": "Selected because the request resolved to forecast follow-up: target-zone and realization-window explanation.",
      "plain_language_summary": "The forecast describes a target zone and model-implied destination zone. It is not a target price, deadline, trade objective, or buy/sell instruction."
    },
    "lookback_days": 90,
    "forecast_bound": {
      "mode": "symbol_quality",
      "summary": {
        "mature_count": 0,
        "quality_band": "unresolved",
        "pending_count": 0
      },
      "available": false
    },
    "interpretation": {
      "nominal_horizon": "24h",
      "target_semantics": "destination_zone_not_deadline",
      "research_boundary": "no buy/sell, sizing, leverage, or execution instruction",
      "forecast_timeframe": "24h",
      "realization_context": "The forecast target zone is a model-implied destination zone. The nominal horizon is not a deadline; follow-through can be checked over the supplied realization windows."
    },
    "realization_windows": [
      {
        "status": "insufficient_data",
        "by_path": [],
        "horizon": "1d",
        "available": true,
        "by_source": [],
        "n_samples": 0,
        "display_window": "24h"
      },
      {
        "mae": 0.05968586680136458,
        "rmse": 0.07536173356387543,
        "status": "ok",
        "by_path": [
          {
            "mae": 0.05968586680136458,
            "rmse": 0.07536173356387543,
            "hit_ratio": 0.6,
            "n_samples": 5,
            "forecast_path": "ensemble",
            "avg_confidence": 0.3401506845382606
          }
        ],
        "horizon": "3d",
        "available": true,
        "by_source": [
          {
            "mae": 0.08724842081806562,
            "rmse": 0.08724842081806562,
            "hit_ratio": 0,
            "n_samples": 1,
            "avg_confidence": 0.4021103130216366,
            "forecast_source": "bias"
          },
          {
            "mae": 0.1335634024285609,
            "rmse": 0.1335634024285609,
            "hit_ratio": 1,
            "n_samples": 1,
            "avg_confidence": 0.24995884092248447,
            "forecast_source": "lgbm+tree+dir_cls+mom+bias"
          },
          {
            "mae": 0.02225668693259249,
            "rmse": 0.02225668693259249,
            "hit_ratio": 1,
            "n_samples": 1,
            "avg_confidence": 0.3506938329039709,
            "forecast_source": "lgbm+tree+dir_cls+mom+qrf+h4h24+bias"
          },
          {
            "mae": 0.006259458333582477,
            "rmse": 0.006259458333582477,
            "hit_ratio": 1,
            "n_samples": 1,
            "avg_confidence": 0.2960207191754696,
            "forecast_source": "lgbm+tree+dir_cls+mom+flow+h4h24+bias"
          },
          {
            "mae": 0.04910136549402142,
            "rmse": 0.04910136549402142,
            "hit_ratio": 0,
            "n_samples": 1,
            "avg_confidence": 0.40196971666774123,
            "forecast_source": "lgbm+tree+dir_cls+mom+flow+qrf+h4h24+bias"
          }
        ],
        "hit_ratio": 0.6,
        "n_samples": 5,
        "generated_at": "2026-06-18T05:12:20.463162+00:00",
        "avg_confidence": 0.3401506845382606,
        "display_window": "3d",
        "calibration_error": 0.5814813273374906
      },
      {
        "mae": 0.06063558963177752,
        "rmse": 0.08010784084738301,
        "status": "ok",
        "by_path": [
          {
            "mae": 0.06063558963177752,
            "rmse": 0.08010784084738301,
            "hit_ratio": 0.5,
            "n_samples": 2,
            "forecast_path": "ensemble",
            "avg_confidence": 0.34866881203376693
          }
        ],
        "horizon": "7d",
        "available": true,
        "by_source": [
          {
            "mae": 0.008284931228694191,
            "rmse": 0.008284931228694191,
            "hit_ratio": 1,
            "n_samples": 1,
            "avg_confidence": 0.4021103130216366,
            "forecast_source": "bias"
          },
          {
            "mae": 0.11298624803486086,
            "rmse": 0.11298624803486086,
            "hit_ratio": 0,
            "n_samples": 1,
            "avg_confidence": 0.2952273110458973,
            "forecast_source": "lgbm+tree+mom+flow+qrf+bias"
          }
        ],
        "hit_ratio": 0.5,
        "n_samples": 2,
        "generated_at": "2026-06-18T05:12:20.457470+00:00",
        "avg_confidence": 0.34866881203376693,
        "display_window": "7d",
        "calibration_error": 0.44655849901213035
      }
    ],
    "source_availability": {
      "evaluations": {
        "1d": true,
        "3d": true,
        "7d": true
      },
      "signal_quality": false,
      "price_forecaster": false
    }
  },
  "drivers": [
    {
      "detail": "Multi-day forecast evaluation windows are available: 3d n=5, 7d n=2.",
      "impact": "positive"
    },
    {
      "detail": "Price forecast source unavailable: source service returned not found.",
      "impact": "negative"
    },
    {
      "detail": "Signal-quality source unavailable: unknown.",
      "impact": "negative"
    }
  ],
  "notices": [
    "Research output only. Not investment advice. No execution. No custody.",
    "Forecast target zones are research context only, not buy/sell targets, deadlines, or execution instructions.",
    "A nominal 24h forecast can be interpreted as a model window; observed follow-through may take multiple days."
  ],
  "service": "tradeos-crypto-intelligence-agent",
  "subject": {
    "limit": null,
    "symbol": "ETH",
    "horizon": null,
    "chain_id": "1",
    "metadata": {
      "marketplace": "generic_x402",
      "request_type": "path_context",
      "x402_provider": "x402",
      "x402_channel_id": "x402-direct",
      "requested_service": "tradeos-forecast-path-context",
      "x402_resource_type": "intelligence_report"
    },
    "timeframe": "24h",
    "contract_address": null
  },
  "verdict": "insufficient_data",
  "evidence": [
    {
      "as_of": null,
      "detail": "Latest forecast unavailable: source service returned not found.",
      "impact": "neutral",
      "source": "price-forecaster",
      "severity": null,
      "reference": null
    },
    {
      "as_of": null,
      "detail": "Signal-quality source unavailable: unknown.",
      "impact": "neutral",
      "source": "signal-quality",
      "severity": null,
      "reference": null
    },
    {
      "as_of": "2026-06-18T05:12:20.463162+00:00",
      "detail": "2 realization-window evaluation(s) returned mature samples.",
      "impact": "neutral",
      "source": "price-forecaster:evaluate",
      "severity": null,
      "reference": null
    }
  ],
  "confidence": 0,
  "created_at": "2026-06-18T05:12:20.464614Z",
  "request_id": "2d288627-e108-4b40-8cdf-b180ccbdd3d0",
  "risk_flags": [
    "forecast_bound_quality_unavailable",
    "forecast_bound_unresolved",
    "price_forecast_unavailable"
  ],
  "next_checks": [
    "Wait for a fresh price-forecaster envelope before interpreting a target zone.",
    "Compare the 24h target-zone center with realized path over 24h, 3d, and 7d before calling follow-through present.",
    "Review adverse excursion and invalidation before interpreting eventual target contact.",
    "Keep execution, leverage, sizing, and stop placement outside this research report.",
    "Treat weak or unresolved target follow-through labels as a reason to widen the review window."
  ],
  "missing_data": [
    "price_forecast",
    "forecast_target_zone",
    "forecast_bound_signal_quality",
    "evaluation_24h"
  ],
  "request_type": "forecast_path_context",
  "response_mode": "json",
  "data_freshness": {
    "as_of": "2026-06-18T05:12:20.397823Z",
    "source": "price-forecaster+signal-quality",
    "by_source": {
      "signal-quality": "2026-06-18T05:12:20.397823Z",
      "price-forecaster:evaluate:3d": "2026-06-18T05:12:20.463162+00:00",
      "price-forecaster:evaluate:7d": "2026-06-18T05:12:20.457470+00:00"
    },
    "freshness_known": true
  },
  "negative_drivers": [
    "Price forecast source unavailable: source service returned not found.",
    "Signal-quality source unavailable: unknown."
  ],
  "positive_drivers": [
    "Multi-day forecast evaluation windows are available: 3d n=5, 7d n=2."
  ],
  "refusal_category": null
}

Schema · Response

Field	Type	Description
detailsrequired	object
driversrequired	array
noticesrequired	array
servicerequired	string
subjectrequired	object
verdictrequired	string
evidencerequired	array
confidencerequired	number
created_atrequired	string
request_idrequired	string
risk_flagsrequired	array
next_checksrequired	array
missing_datarequired	array
request_typerequired	string
response_moderequired	string
data_freshnessrequired	object
negative_driversrequired	array
positive_driversrequired	array
refusal_categoryrequired	null

Reviews

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Technical details

Endpoint

POSThttps://tradeos.tech/x402/v1/intelligence/tradeos-forecast-path-context

When to prefer

Side effects

Unknown token symbol or contract returns a 404 or empty result
Stale or unavailable forecast data returns a freshness warning
Invalid signal ID returns a validation error
Payment not settled via x402 returns a 402 Payment Required
Malformed request body returns a 400 Bad Request

Input

{
  "input": {
    "body": {
      "output": "json",
      "symbol": "ETH",
      "chain_id": "1",
      "metadata": {
        "request_type": "path_context"
      }
    },
    "type": "http",
    "method": "POST",
    "bodyType": "json"
  }
}

Schema · Request body

Field	Type	Description
inputrequired	object
output	object

Output

{
  "details": {
    "forecast": {
      "available": false,
      "unavailable_reason": "source service returned not found"
    },
    "human_summary": {
      "headline": "Insufficient data for a model-implied target zone.",
      "data_gaps": [
        "Price forecast.",
        "Forecast target zone.",
        "Forecast bound signal quality.",
        "Evaluation 24h."
      ],
      "builder_use": "Use as a forecast explainer and multi-day path context layer; keep execution, sizing, leverage, and stop placement outside this public service.",
      "score_notes": [
        "Signal-quality band: Unresolved historical target follow-through."
      ],
      "verdict_label": "Insufficient data",
      "thesis_tracking": {
        "recheck_cadence": "Recheck after new bars arrive and at the 1d, 3d, and 7d follow-up windows.",
        "continuous_use_note": "Forecast follow-up is a path check; the thesis can track, drift, or invalidate over time."
      },
      "product_primitive": "Forecast follow-up",
      "what_needs_review": [
        "Signal-quality source is unavailable.",
        "Signal-quality evidence is unresolved.",
        "Price-forecaster output is unavailable.",
        "Price forecast source unavailable: source service returned not found.",
        "Signal-quality source unavailable: unknown."
      ],
      "realization_windows": [
        {
          "window": "24h",
          "samples": 0
        },
        {
          "window": "3d",
          "samples": 5,
          "hit_ratio": "60%"
        },
        {
          "window": "7d",
          "samples": 2,
          "hit_ratio": "50%"
        }
      ],
      "target_zone_context": {
        "quality_caveat": "Realization quality should be interpreted as validation evidence, not an execution signal.",
        "nominal_horizon": "24h",
        "realization_window_context": "3d: 60% hit ratio over 5 samples; 7d: 50% hit ratio over 2 samples."
      },
      "what_is_constructive": [
        "Multi-day forecast evaluation windows are available: 3d n=5, 7d n=2."
      ],
      "selected_route_reason": "Selected because the request resolved to forecast follow-up: target-zone and realization-window explanation.",
      "plain_language_summary": "The forecast describes a target zone and model-implied destination zone. It is not a target price, deadline, trade objective, or buy/sell instruction."
    },
    "lookback_days": 90,
    "forecast_bound": {
      "mode": "symbol_quality",
      "summary": {
        "mature_count": 0,
        "quality_band": "unresolved",
        "pending_count": 0
      },
      "available": false
    },
    "interpretation": {
      "nominal_horizon": "24h",
      "target_semantics": "destination_zone_not_deadline",
      "research_boundary": "no buy/sell, sizing, leverage, or execution instruction",
      "forecast_timeframe": "24h",
      "realization_context": "The forecast target zone is a model-implied destination zone. The nominal horizon is not a deadline; follow-through can be checked over the supplied realization windows."
    },
    "realization_windows": [
      {
        "status": "insufficient_data",
        "by_path": [],
        "horizon": "1d",
        "available": true,
        "by_source": [],
        "n_samples": 0,
        "display_window": "24h"
      },
      {
        "mae": 0.05968586680136458,
        "rmse": 0.07536173356387543,
        "status": "ok",
        "by_path": [
          {
            "mae": 0.05968586680136458,
            "rmse": 0.07536173356387543,
            "hit_ratio": 0.6,
            "n_samples": 5,
            "forecast_path": "ensemble",
            "avg_confidence": 0.3401506845382606
          }
        ],
        "horizon": "3d",
        "available": true,
        "by_source": [
          {
            "mae": 0.08724842081806562,
            "rmse": 0.08724842081806562,
            "hit_ratio": 0,
            "n_samples": 1,
            "avg_confidence": 0.4021103130216366,
            "forecast_source": "bias"
          },
          {
            "mae": 0.1335634024285609,
            "rmse": 0.1335634024285609,
            "hit_ratio": 1,
            "n_samples": 1,
            "avg_confidence": 0.24995884092248447,
            "forecast_source": "lgbm+tree+dir_cls+mom+bias"
          },
          {
            "mae": 0.02225668693259249,
            "rmse": 0.02225668693259249,
            "hit_ratio": 1,
            "n_samples": 1,
            "avg_confidence": 0.3506938329039709,
            "forecast_source": "lgbm+tree+dir_cls+mom+qrf+h4h24+bias"
          },
          {
            "mae": 0.006259458333582477,
            "rmse": 0.006259458333582477,
            "hit_ratio": 1,
            "n_samples": 1,
            "avg_confidence": 0.2960207191754696,
            "forecast_source": "lgbm+tree+dir_cls+mom+flow+h4h24+bias"
          },
          {
            "mae": 0.04910136549402142,
            "rmse": 0.04910136549402142,
            "hit_ratio": 0,
            "n_samples": 1,
            "avg_confidence": 0.40196971666774123,
            "forecast_source": "lgbm+tree+dir_cls+mom+flow+qrf+h4h24+bias"
          }
        ],
        "hit_ratio": 0.6,
        "n_samples": 5,
        "generated_at": "2026-06-18T05:12:20.463162+00:00",
        "avg_confidence": 0.3401506845382606,
        "display_window": "3d",
        "calibration_error": 0.5814813273374906
      },
      {
        "mae": 0.06063558963177752,
        "rmse": 0.08010784084738301,
        "status": "ok",
        "by_path": [
          {
            "mae": 0.06063558963177752,
            "rmse": 0.08010784084738301,
            "hit_ratio": 0.5,
            "n_samples": 2,
            "forecast_path": "ensemble",
            "avg_confidence": 0.34866881203376693
          }
        ],
        "horizon": "7d",
        "available": true,
        "by_source": [
          {
            "mae": 0.008284931228694191,
            "rmse": 0.008284931228694191,
            "hit_ratio": 1,
            "n_samples": 1,
            "avg_confidence": 0.4021103130216366,
            "forecast_source": "bias"
          },
          {
            "mae": 0.11298624803486086,
            "rmse": 0.11298624803486086,
            "hit_ratio": 0,
            "n_samples": 1,
            "avg_confidence": 0.2952273110458973,
            "forecast_source": "lgbm+tree+mom+flow+qrf+bias"
          }
        ],
        "hit_ratio": 0.5,
        "n_samples": 2,
        "generated_at": "2026-06-18T05:12:20.457470+00:00",
        "avg_confidence": 0.34866881203376693,
        "display_window": "7d",
        "calibration_error": 0.44655849901213035
      }
    ],
    "source_availability": {
      "evaluations": {
        "1d": true,
        "3d": true,
        "7d": true
      },
      "signal_quality": false,
      "price_forecaster": false
    }
  },
  "drivers": [
    {
      "detail": "Multi-day forecast evaluation windows are available: 3d n=5, 7d n=2.",
      "impact": "positive"
    },
    {
      "detail": "Price forecast source unavailable: source service returned not found.",
      "impact": "negative"
    },
    {
      "detail": "Signal-quality source unavailable: unknown.",
      "impact": "negative"
    }
  ],
  "notices": [
    "Research output only. Not investment advice. No execution. No custody.",
    "Forecast target zones are research context only, not buy/sell targets, deadlines, or execution instructions.",
    "A nominal 24h forecast can be interpreted as a model window; observed follow-through may take multiple days."
  ],
  "service": "tradeos-crypto-intelligence-agent",
  "subject": {
    "limit": null,
    "symbol": "ETH",
    "horizon": null,
    "chain_id": "1",
    "metadata": {
      "marketplace": "generic_x402",
      "request_type": "path_context",
      "x402_provider": "x402",
      "x402_channel_id": "x402-direct",
      "requested_service": "tradeos-forecast-path-context",
      "x402_resource_type": "intelligence_report"
    },
    "timeframe": "24h",
    "contract_address": null
  },
  "verdict": "insufficient_data",
  "evidence": [
    {
      "as_of": null,
      "detail": "Latest forecast unavailable: source service returned not found.",
      "impact": "neutral",
      "source": "price-forecaster",
      "severity": null,
      "reference": null
    },
    {
      "as_of": null,
      "detail": "Signal-quality source unavailable: unknown.",
      "impact": "neutral",
      "source": "signal-quality",
      "severity": null,
      "reference": null
    },
    {
      "as_of": "2026-06-18T05:12:20.463162+00:00",
      "detail": "2 realization-window evaluation(s) returned mature samples.",
      "impact": "neutral",
      "source": "price-forecaster:evaluate",
      "severity": null,
      "reference": null
    }
  ],
  "confidence": 0,
  "created_at": "2026-06-18T05:12:20.464614Z",
  "request_id": "2d288627-e108-4b40-8cdf-b180ccbdd3d0",
  "risk_flags": [
    "forecast_bound_quality_unavailable",
    "forecast_bound_unresolved",
    "price_forecast_unavailable"
  ],
  "next_checks": [
    "Wait for a fresh price-forecaster envelope before interpreting a target zone.",
    "Compare the 24h target-zone center with realized path over 24h, 3d, and 7d before calling follow-through present.",
    "Review adverse excursion and invalidation before interpreting eventual target contact.",
    "Keep execution, leverage, sizing, and stop placement outside this research report.",
    "Treat weak or unresolved target follow-through labels as a reason to widen the review window."
  ],
  "missing_data": [
    "price_forecast",
    "forecast_target_zone",
    "forecast_bound_signal_quality",
    "evaluation_24h"
  ],
  "request_type": "forecast_path_context",
  "response_mode": "json",
  "data_freshness": {
    "as_of": "2026-06-18T05:12:20.397823Z",
    "source": "price-forecaster+signal-quality",
    "by_source": {
      "signal-quality": "2026-06-18T05:12:20.397823Z",
      "price-forecaster:evaluate:3d": "2026-06-18T05:12:20.463162+00:00",
      "price-forecaster:evaluate:7d": "2026-06-18T05:12:20.457470+00:00"
    },
    "freshness_known": true
  },
  "negative_drivers": [
    "Price forecast source unavailable: source service returned not found.",
    "Signal-quality source unavailable: unknown."
  ],
  "positive_drivers": [
    "Multi-day forecast evaluation windows are available: 3d n=5, 7d n=2."
  ],
  "refusal_category": null
}

Schema · Response

Field	Type	Description
detailsrequired	object
driversrequired	array
noticesrequired	array
servicerequired	string
subjectrequired	object
verdictrequired	string
evidencerequired	array
confidencerequired	number
created_atrequired	string
request_idrequired	string
risk_flagsrequired	array
next_checksrequired	array
missing_datarequired	array
request_typerequired	string
response_moderequired	string
data_freshnessrequired	object
negative_driversrequired	array
positive_driversrequired	array
refusal_categoryrequired	null