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HodlOdds Crash Odds Board for Solana Memecoins
x402
HodlOdds Crash Odds Board for Solana Memecoins is a paid API for AI agents from api.hodlodds.com, paid per call via x402, $0.25/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-11-03).
Returns the probability that a pump.fun-graduated Solana memecoin will crash 90% or more within the next 60 minutes, sortable and filterable by risk, liquidity, and recency.
Price / call$0.25
Success—
StatusUnknown
How this service works
Fresh SOL-token board: 0.005 USDC per delivered coin
Output
An array of token rows each containing the mint address, symbol/name, 60-minute crash probability (p_crash_60m), a confidence band with historical observed rates, 5-minute and 60-minute return figures, max drawdown, reserve SOL, trade count, market status, platform, chain CAIP-2 ID, CAIP-19 asset ID, and a plain-English odds summary sentence. The response also includes metadata: coverage window, model version, issue and expiry timestamps, applied filters, sort, total matches, and pricing info.
Example use cases
Rug-pull risk screen before buying
“Before I buy into any of these three Solana memecoins — 7xKX...abc, 3mNQ...def, and 9pRT...ghi — can you pull the 60-minute crash probability for each from HodlOdds so I know which ones are most likely to dump?”
Safest memecoin leaderboard
“Show me the 20 pump.fun tokens with the lowest crash probability right now, sorted safest first, so I can see which ones look relatively stable at the moment.”
High-risk momentum scanner
“Pull the top 25 riskiest active pump.fun coins on HodlOdds right now — I want to see which ones are most likely to crash in the next hour so I can avoid them or plan a short.”
Technical details
Endpoint
GEThttps://api.hodlodds.com/v1/board?utm_source=zero.xyzWhen to prefer
Choose this endpoint when you need quantitative, model-derived crash probability scores specifically for pump.fun-graduated Solana memecoins within a 60-minute horizon. It is the right choice when you want ranked leaderboards of risk across many tokens or need to screen a specific list of mint addresses before trading. Prefer it over generic on-chain analytics when you want a single actionable probability figure with a plain-English summary rather than raw on-chain metrics.
Side effects
- 400 returned free of charge for invalid/duplicate mint addresses, unsupported chain or platform values, contradictory filters, or out-of-range limit values
- Payment required (402) if x402 payment header is missing or insufficient
- Token not found or market unavailable returns no rows rather than an error row
- Stale data may be returned with 'Last known (N min old)' prefix in summary if real-time data is unavailable
- Experimental or unlisted markets are not surfaced even with explicit filters
Input
Schema · Request body
| Field | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
| inputrequired | object | |
| output | object |
Output
Schema · Response
{
"type": "json",
"example": {
"rows": [
{
"band": {
"n": 77515,
"hi": 0.05,
"lo": 0.02,
"basis": "Historical weekly BF refits, Sep 1–Oct 14 excluding Sep 20; already-seen evidence, not this frozen fit.",
"historical_observed": 0.038
},
"mint": "11111111111111111111111111111111pump",
"name": "Illustrative token",
"asset": "solana:5eykt4UsFv8P8NJdTREpY1vzqKqZKvdp/token:11111111111111111111111111111111pump",
"chain": "solana:5eykt4UsFv8P8NJdTREpY1vzqKqZKvdp",
"dd_60": 0.96,
"ret_5": -0.014,
"ret_60": 0.023,
"symbol": "EXAMPLE",
"age_min": 240,
"summary": "3.1% chance of a 90%+ price drop within 60 minutes (about 3.1 in 100). Low odds are not a safety signal.",
"platform": "pumpfun",
"resq_sol": 125.5,
"trades_5": 32,
"chain_name": "Solana",
"confidence": {
"band": {
"n": 77515,
"hi": 0.05,
"lo": 0.02,
"obs": 0.038,
"pred": 0.0337,
"positives": 2945.57
},
"basis": "Historical validation of weekly BF refits, September 1 through October 14, 2026 excluding September 20; already-seen data, not measured calibration of the frozen serving fit.",
"level": "high",
"reasons": [],
"direction": null,
"rule_version": "hodlodds.confidence.v1"
},
"p_crash_60m": 0.031,
"market_status": "available"
}
],
"sort": "lowest_risk",
"as_of": 1792249200,
"limit": 50,
"model": {
"id": "example-bf-frozen",
"hashes": {
"meta": "bbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbb",
"model": "aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa"
}
},
"schema": "hodlodds.board.v1",
"covered": true,
"filters": {
"min_liquidity_sol": 100
},
"coverage": {
"active": 660,
"scored": 650,
"universe": "Illustrative active SOL-quoted pump.fun graduates",
"abstained": 10,
"experimental_quotes": [
"USDC",
"PUMP"
],
"experimental_scored": 75,
"experimental_abstained": 4
},
"returned": 1,
"issued_at": 1792249230,
"definition": "A crash is a completed 1-minute close in SOL at least 90% below the reference price within 60 minutes.",
"expires_at": 1792249350,
"price_usdc": "0.005",
"horizon_end": 1792252800,
"total_matches": 1,
"unit_price_usdc": "0.005"
}
}Tags
x402
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