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Predge Whale Data — Single-Market Smart-Money Verdict
x402
Predge Whale Data — Single-Market Smart-Money Verdict is a paid API for AI agents from api.predge.io, paid per call via x402, $0.01/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-09-15).
Returns an edge-based smart-money directional verdict (yes/no/split) plus whale trade breakdown and confidence rating for a single Polymarket prediction market identified by conditionId.
Price / call$0.01
Success—
StatusUnknown
How this service works
Single-market smart-money VERDICT for one Polymarket market (path param: conditionId, 0x… Polymarket condition id) — the "should you trust this move?" decision, built to be looped once per market per cycle. This is /v1/signals/consensus scoped to one market: SAME edge-based smart-money population (a wallet qualifies when its luck-damped realized edge over the last 30d — Wilson-95%-lower-bound(live win rate) − avg entry price — exceeds 0, from RESOLVED outcomes, with the same >= 10 trades / >= $1,000 floors), and the SAME direction rule (>= 55% of smart volume / >= 10% imbalance => "yes"/"no", else "split"). Returns market metadata (title, category, yes_price, status, and resolution/resolved_at when settled), the edge-proven smart-money read for whale trades (>= $10,000) in the last 24h — distinct smart wallets, YES/NO split, net flow (USD), direction verdict — plus total-vs-smart whale volume and a plain confidence (none|low|medium|high) + basis an agent can act on. Honest degradation via {"insufficient_data": true, "reason": ...} when too few smart wallets have touched the market. 404 (not charged) for a condition id unknown to the Predge dataset. 15 min delay.
Output
Returns a JSON object containing: market metadata (title, category, current yes_price, status, and resolution/resolved_at if settled); a smart-money whale signal block covering the last 24 hours of trades >= $10,000 (distinct qualifying smart wallets, YES vs NO volume split, net USD flow, and a direction verdict of yes/no/split); total vs smart whale volume figures; and a plain-language confidence level (none/low/medium/high) plus a human-readable basis string explaining why that confidence was assigned. Degrades honestly when data is insufficient.
Example use cases
Pre-trade smart-money gut-check
“Before I put money on this Polymarket market, pull the Predge whale verdict for condition 0x1a2b3c4d5e6f7a8b9c0d1e2f3a4b5c6d — I want to know if edge-proven whales are leaning YES or NO and what the confidence level is.”
Automated trading bot signal gate
“My bot is about to enter a YES position on Polymarket condition 0xabcdef1234567890abcdef1234567890abcdef12 — first check Predge to see if smart-money whale flow in the last 24 hours supports that direction with at least medium confidence before executing.”
Post-resolution smart-money validation
“That Polymarket market with condition 0x9f8e7d6c5b4a3f2e1d0c9b8a7f6e5d4c just resolved — what did Predge's smart-money verdict say going in, and did the whale direction call match the outcome?”
Technical details
Endpoint
GEThttps://api.predge.io/v1/signals/market/:conditionIdWhen to prefer
Choose this endpoint when you need a single-market, per-cycle smart-money verdict for a specific Polymarket condition and want an actionable yes/no/split direction with honest confidence scoring. It is purpose-built for agents that iterate over a list of markets one at a time. Prefer the consensus endpoint if you need cross-market aggregate signals. Prefer this over generic Polymarket data sources when you want edge-filtered whale intelligence (luck-damped, Wilson-bound edge criterion) rather than raw volume or price data.
Side effects
- Invalid or malformed conditionId (not a valid 0x Polymarket condition hash) returns an error
- Market not found on Polymarket returns empty or 404-style response
- Insufficient whale activity in the last 24h results in confidence=none and direction=split
- Smart-money population too small (fewer than required qualifying wallets) causes low or none confidence
- Payment not fulfilled (x402 protocol) results in 402 Payment Required
- Rate limiting if called too rapidly in a loop
Input
Schema · Request body
| Field | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
| inputrequired | object | |
| output | object |
Tags
x402
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