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Predge Whale Intelligence — Market Signals by Condition ID
x402
Predge Whale Intelligence — Market Signals by Condition ID is a paid API for AI agents from api.predge.io, paid per call via x402, $0.01/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-09-15).
Returns real-time smart-money whale trading signals for a specific Polymarket prediction market, including net flow direction, confidence, and qualifying wallet metrics.
Price / call$0.01
Success—
StatusUnknown
How this service works
Real-time alerts on whale traders on Polymarket. Heuristic Insider Watch, wallet scoring 0–100, Bloomberg-style web terminal. Free plan included.
Output
Returns a JSON object containing: a human-readable basis summary, market metadata (title, status, category, yes/no price, resolution), a directional signal (YES/NO), confidence level (high/medium/low), smart money definition parameters, net flow in USD, smart wallet count, smart and total whale volume breakdown over the specified window, and a flag indicating whether data was insufficient.
Example use cases
Fed rate cut market whale check
“Pull the Predge smart-money signals for the 'Will the Fed cut rates in September?' market on Polymarket — condition ID 0x178a746e2b342c25b1d78d0f0d0ea77157c9b6d40b2e97ffbf827cd7f9994c39 — and tell me if whales are net buying YES or NO and how strong the signal is.”
Pre-trade whale validation
“Before I put money on this prediction market, check Predge for whale intelligence on condition ID 0xabc123... and tell me how many smart-money wallets have traded it in the last 24 hours and what the net flow direction looks like.”
Automated prediction market signal monitor
“Every hour, fetch Predge whale signals for condition ID 0xdef456... and alert me if the smart-money direction flips or if net flow exceeds $100,000 in either direction.”
Technical details
Endpoint
GEThttps://api.predge.io/v1/signals/market/%7BconditionId%7DWhen to prefer
Use this endpoint when you need quantitative smart-money intelligence for a specific Polymarket prediction market identified by its condition ID. It is purpose-built for whale flow analysis with statistically validated wallet scoring (Wilson-95% lower bound on realized edge), making it superior to generic on-chain analytics or raw order book data when you want a pre-computed directional signal with confidence grading.
Side effects
- Invalid or unknown conditionId returns an error or empty result
- Market not tracked on Polymarket returns no data
- Insufficient trading activity sets insufficient_data: true and may return no directional signal
- Network or rate-limit errors from the API
- Payment not provided or rejected (x402 payment required error)
Input
Schema · Request body
| Field | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
| properties | string |
Output
Schema · Response
{
"type": "json",
"example": {
"basis": "6 edge-proven smart-money wallet(s) moved $143,000 net toward YES (82% of $225,000 smart volume) on this market in the last 24h.",
"market": {
"title": "Will the Fed cut rates in September?",
"status": "active",
"category": "economics",
"platform": "polymarket",
"yes_price": 0.62,
"resolution": null,
"resolved_at": null,
"condition_id": "0x178a746e2b342c25b1d78d0f0d0ea77157c9b6d40b2e97ffbf827cd7f9994c39"
},
"direction": "yes",
"confidence": "high",
"smart_money": {
"basis": "edge_lower_bound",
"definition": "smart money = a wallet whose luck-damped realized edge over the trailing window is positive (Wilson-95%-lower-bound(win rate) − avg entry price > min_edge_lower_bound), from RESOLVED outcomes — not the opaque scorer score",
"min_trades": 10,
"min_volume_usd": 1000,
"edge_window_days": 30,
"qualifying_wallets": 474,
"min_edge_lower_bound": 0
},
"net_flow_usd": 143000,
"smart_no_usd": 41000,
"window_hours": 24,
"smart_wallets": 6,
"smart_yes_usd": 184000,
"insufficient_data": false,
"smart_whale_volume_usd": 225000,
"total_whale_volume_usd": 412000
}
}Tags
x402
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