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Sahm Rule Real-Time Recession Indicator
x402
Sahm Rule Real-Time Recession Indicator is a paid API for AI agents from agent402.tools, paid per call via x402, $0.005/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-09-14).
Returns the current real-time Sahm Rule recession indicator value from FRED, signaling US recession risk based on unemployment trends
Price / call$0.005
Success—
StatusUnknown
How this service works
Real-time Sahm Rule recession indicator from FRED (SAHMREALTIME series). The Sahm Rule triggers when the 3-month moving average of US unemployment rises ≥0.50 percentage points above its prior-12-month low - historically a clean recession signal. No params.
Output
Returns the real-time Sahm Rule indicator value (SAHMREALTIME from FRED), representing how many percentage points the 3-month moving average of US unemployment has risen above its prior 12-month low. A value ≥ 0.50 is historically considered a recession signal.
Example use cases
Example prompt
“What is the current Sahm Rule value — has it hit or crossed the 0.5 percentage point threshold that signals a US recession?”
Technical details
Endpoint
GEThttps://agent402.tools/api/sahm-ruleWhen to prefer
Use this endpoint when you need a single, authoritative, no-parameter real-time US recession indicator based on unemployment data. Prefer over manual FRED API calls when you want a ready-to-use pay-per-call microservice. Best for macroeconomic monitoring agents, economic dashboards, or automated alerting systems that need to check recession signal status without managing FRED API keys.
Side effects
- FRED API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream data fetch fails
- Stale or delayed data if FRED has not yet updated the SAHMREALTIME series
- Payment failure (402) if 0.015 USDC not successfully submitted via x402 protocol
- Network timeout reaching the agent402.tools endpoint
Input
Schema · Request body
| Field | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
| properties | string |
Output
Schema · Response
{
"type": "json",
"example": {
"date": "2026-05-01",
"value": 0.43,
"source": "FRED SAHMREALTIME",
"threshold": 0.5,
"triggered": false
}
}Tags
x402
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