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x402-factory Fed Next Meeting Rate Cut Probability
x402
x402-factory Fed Next Meeting Rate Cut Probability is a paid API for AI agents from x402-factory.com, paid per call via x402, $0.02/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-09-14).
Returns live, aggregated prediction-market probability that the Fed will cut rates at its next FOMC meeting, sourced from Kalshi and Polymarket with per-venue breakdowns.
Price / call$0.02
Success—
StatusUnknown
How this service works
Live probability: Will the Fed cut rates at its next FOMC meeting? — Stable evergreen URL for a recurring question: Will the Fed cut rates at its next FOMC meeting? Auto-resolves to the current market instance and rolls forward on resolution, so the answer is always about the next occurrence. Response adds current_slug and rolls_to_next_at to the standard probability shape.
Output
A JSON object containing: an aggregated consensus probability, per-venue implied probabilities with 24h USD volume and liquidity scores for Kalshi and Polymarket, the divergence between venues, the 1h price change, the resolution date of the active contract, and metadata including data freshness (realtime), sources, and a link to full endpoint docs.
Example use cases
Macro briefing for trading desk
“Pull the latest prediction-market consensus on whether the Fed will cut rates at the next FOMC meeting, including the per-venue breakdown from Kalshi and Polymarket and the 24-hour volume on each.”
Fed policy tracker in research report
“I'm writing a macro research note — what's the current market-implied probability of a Fed rate cut at the next meeting, and when does the contract resolve?”
Alert when Fed cut odds shift
“Check the current Kalshi and Polymarket odds on a Fed rate cut at the next FOMC meeting and let me know if the overall probability has moved more than 2 percentage points in the last hour.”
Technical details
Endpoint
GEThttps://x402-factory.com/v1/evergreen/fed-next-meeting-cutWhen to prefer
Choose this endpoint when you need a single, aggregated, real-time view of prediction-market odds on Fed rate cuts sourced from multiple venues (Kalshi + Polymarket). It is preferable to scraping individual venue APIs because it normalises liquidity, volume, and divergence into one response and auto-rolls to the next active contract. Use it for macro dashboards, trading signals, research reports, or agent workflows that need structured monetary-policy probability data without managing multi-venue API integrations.
Side effects
- No active FOMC meeting contract (e.g. between meetings): may return stale or rolled slug
- Venue API outage: one or both per-venue entries may be missing or stale
- Payment not included: returns HTTP 402 with USDC payment requirements before data is served
- Malformed X-PAYMENT header: returns 402 or 400 error
- Rate limit exceeded: returns 429
Input
Schema · Request body
| Field | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
| properties | string |
Output
Schema · Response
{
"type": "json",
"example": {
"data": {
"slug": "fed-rate-cut-2026-09",
"topic": "fed-next-meeting-cut",
"category": "economics",
"question": "Will the Fed cut rates at the September 2026 FOMC meeting?",
"per_venue": [
{
"venue": "kalshi",
"implied_p": 0.7359,
"market_id": "KXFEDRATECUT2026",
"volume_24h_usd": 204455.43,
"liquidity_score": 0.947
},
{
"venue": "polymarket",
"implied_p": 0.7264,
"market_id": "fed-rate-cut-2026-09",
"volume_24h_usd": 249729.17,
"liquidity_score": 0.98
}
],
"divergence": 0.0095,
"probability": 0.7301,
"current_slug": "fed-rate-cut-2026-09",
"last_move_1h": -0.001,
"topic_question": "Will the Fed cut rates at its next FOMC meeting?",
"resolution_date": "2026-09-16",
"rolls_to_next_at": "2026-09-16",
"resolution_criteria_summary": "Resolves YES if the target range upper bound is lowered at the Sep 15–16 meeting."
},
"meta": {
"docs": "https://x402-factory.com/docs/probability.evergreen.fed-next-meeting-cut",
"sources": [
"kalshi",
"polymarket"
],
"version": "1.0.0",
"endpoint": "/v1/evergreen/fed-next-meeting-cut",
"data_mode": "live",
"freshness": "realtime",
"request_id": "req_00000000",
"generated_at": "2026-08-21T03:58:58.087Z"
}
}
}Tags
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