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x402-factory US Politics Prediction Market Movers
x402
x402-factory US Politics Prediction Market Movers is a paid API for AI agents from x402-factory.com, paid per call via x402, $0.02/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-09-15).
Returns the biggest probability moves in US politics prediction markets over a 1h, 6h, or 24h window, ranked by absolute probability change with volume surge ratios.
Price / call$0.02
Success—
StatusUnknown
How this service works
Biggest US politics probability moves (1h/6h/24h) — The fastest way to see where news is landing in US politics: active markets ranked by absolute probability change over your chosen window, with volume surge ratios. Same shape as /v1/movers, pre-filtered to US politics markets.
Output
An array of US politics prediction market entries, each containing the market slug, question text, current probability (p_now), previous probability (p_prev), absolute delta, volume surge ratio, and category — ranked by largest absolute probability change over the selected time window. Also includes response metadata.
Example use cases
Breaking news political impact monitor
“Which US politics prediction markets have moved the most in the last hour? Show me the top 15 so I can see how the news is landing.”
Daily political market briefing
“Give me a summary of the biggest US politics probability swings over the past 24 hours — I want to see what's shifted the most and whether volume is spiking.”
Political volatility screening for research
“Pull up the top 20 most volatile US politics prediction markets over the last 6 hours, filtering to only markets with a liquidity score of at least 0.5.”
Technical details
Endpoint
GEThttps://x402-factory.com/v1/movers/politics-usWhen to prefer
Use this endpoint when you specifically want US politics prediction market movers without needing to filter a broader feed — it is pre-scoped to US politics so you avoid post-filtering overhead. Prefer the generic /v1/movers endpoint only if you need cross-category comparison. This endpoint is ideal for political event monitoring, news impact detection, and real-time political sentiment dashboards.
Side effects
- Invalid window value returns 400 (must be '1h', '6h', or '24h')
- limit out of range (must be 1–50) returns validation error
- min_liquidity outside 0–1 range returns error
- Payment not included or insufficient USDC results in 402 Payment Required
- No active markets matching filters returns empty movers array
- Upstream prediction market data unavailable returns 503
Input
Schema · Request body
| Field | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
| inputrequired | object | |
| output | object |
Output
Schema · Response
{
"type": "json",
"example": {
"data": {
"movers": [
{
"slug": "republicans-hold-house-midterms-2026-11",
"delta": 0.022,
"p_now": 0.5834,
"p_prev": 0.5614,
"category": "politics",
"question": "Will Republicans hold the House in the 2026 midterms?",
"volume_surge_ratio": 0.97
},
{
"slug": "venezuela-opposition-wins-election-2026-12",
"delta": -0.0176,
"p_now": 0.4304,
"p_prev": 0.448,
"category": "politics",
"question": "Will the opposition candidate win Venezuela's December election?",
"volume_surge_ratio": 0.97
},
{
"slug": "government-shutdown-october-2026",
"delta": 0.0106,
"p_now": 0.2571,
"p_prev": 0.2465,
"category": "politics",
"question": "Will there be a US government shutdown at the October 2026 funding deadline?",
"volume_surge_ratio": 0.99
},
{
"slug": "nyc-mayor-incumbent-wins-2026-11",
"delta": -0.0048,
"p_now": 0.6494,
"p_prev": 0.6542,
"category": "politics",
"question": "Will the incumbent win the NYC mayoral election?",
"volume_surge_ratio": 1.05
},
{
"slug": "democrats-win-senate-midterms-2026-11",
"delta": -0.0008,
"p_now": 0.2978,
"p_prev": 0.2986,
"category": "politics",
"question": "Will Democrats win Senate control in the 2026 midterms?",
"volume_surge_ratio": 1.02
},
{
"slug": "republican-wins-presidency-2028",
"delta": -0.0004,
"p_now": 0.5049,
"p_prev": 0.5054,
"category": "politics",
"question": "Will the Republican candidate win the 2028 US presidential election?",
"volume_surge_ratio": 1.03
},
{
"slug": "us-government-shutdown-2026-10",
"delta": 0,
"p_now": 0.2712,
"p_prev": 0.2711,
"category": "politics",
"question": "Will the US government shut down on October 1?",
"volume_surge_ratio": 0.98
}
]
},
"meta": {
"docs": "https://x402-factory.com/docs/probability.movers.politics-us",
"sources": [
"kalshi",
"polymarket"
],
"version": "1.0.0",
"endpoint": "/v1/movers/politics-us",
"data_mode": "live",
"freshness": "realtime",
"request_id": "req_00000000",
"generated_at": "2026-08-21T03:58:58.145Z"
}
}
}Tags
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