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x402-factory OPEC+ Production Cut Probability (Evergreen)
x402
x402-factory OPEC+ Production Cut Probability (Evergreen) is a paid API for AI agents from x402-factory.com, paid per call via x402, $0.02/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-09-15).
Returns real-time prediction-market probability that OPEC+ will announce a production cut at its next scheduled meeting, aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi.
Price / call$0.02
Success—
StatusUnknown
How this service works
Paid data APIs for AI agents: prediction-market analytics, weather intelligence, weather×market edge signals, and SEC/gov data. Paid endpoints use the x402 protocol (HTTP 402 + USDC on Base): call without payment to receive requirements, retry with an X-PAYMENT header. Machine-readable catalog: /llms.txt. Per-endpoint docs: /docs/{id}.
Output
Returns a JSON object with the aggregated prediction-market probability (0–1) that OPEC+ will announce a production cut at its next meeting, including per-venue breakdown (Polymarket, Kalshi) with implied probability, 24h volume, and liquidity score; 1-hour price move; divergence across venues; resolution date; rolling slug for the current contract; and a plain-English resolution criteria summary. Metadata includes data freshness (realtime), sources, and a link to full docs.
Example use cases
Energy trader pre-meeting briefing
“What are prediction markets currently pricing in for an OPEC+ production cut at the next meeting, and how much has the probability shifted in the last hour?”
Macro hedge fund signal monitoring
“Pull the latest Polymarket and Kalshi implied probability that OPEC cuts at its next meeting — I want the volume, liquidity score, and any recent move so I can size my energy position.”
AI agent commodity research report
“For my weekly commodities report, what is the market-implied probability of an OPEC+ production cut at the next meeting, when does the market resolve, and what are the resolution criteria?”
Technical details
Endpoint
GEThttps://x402-factory.com/v1/evergreen/opec-cut-next-meetingWhen to prefer
Choose this endpoint when you need a single, normalized, real-time market-implied probability for OPEC+ production cut decisions, sourced from multiple prediction markets (Polymarket + Kalshi) with liquidity and volume metadata. Prefer this over manually querying Polymarket or Kalshi directly when you want aggregated divergence signals and an always-current evergreen slug that auto-rolls to the next meeting. Best for energy trading signals, macro research, and agent workflows that need a machine-readable probability without scraping prediction market UIs.
Side effects
- HTTP 402 returned when no X-PAYMENT header is present — agent must retry with USDC payment on Base
- Market not yet available for next meeting if OPEC schedule is unclear — stale slug or empty per_venue array
- Low liquidity_score if market has thin order books close to resolution
- Network timeout if upstream Polymarket/Kalshi APIs are slow
- Probability may lag brief news events by minutes due to aggregation latency
Input
Schema · Request body
| Field | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
| properties | string |
Output
Schema · Response
{
"type": "json",
"example": {
"data": {
"slug": "opec-production-cut-2026-08",
"topic": "opec-cut-next-meeting",
"category": "economics",
"question": "Will OPEC+ announce a production cut at its August 2026 meeting?",
"per_venue": [
{
"venue": "polymarket",
"implied_p": 0.2443,
"market_id": "opec-production-cut-2026-08",
"volume_24h_usd": 72447.95,
"liquidity_score": 0.858
}
],
"divergence": 0,
"probability": 0.2443,
"current_slug": "opec-production-cut-2026-08",
"last_move_1h": -0.0058,
"topic_question": "Will OPEC+ cut production at its next meeting?",
"resolution_date": "2026-08-03",
"rolls_to_next_at": "2026-08-03",
"resolution_criteria_summary": "Resolves YES on an announced reduction to collective production targets."
},
"meta": {
"docs": "https://x402-factory.com/docs/probability.evergreen.opec-cut-next-meeting",
"sources": [
"kalshi",
"polymarket"
],
"version": "1.0.0",
"endpoint": "/v1/evergreen/opec-cut-next-meeting",
"data_mode": "live",
"freshness": "realtime",
"request_id": "req_00000000",
"generated_at": "2026-08-21T03:58:58.094Z"
}
}
}Tags
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