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x402-factory: Major AI Regulation Federal Law This Year — Live Prediction Market Probability
x402
x402-factory: Major AI Regulation Federal Law This Year — Live Prediction Market Probability is a paid API for AI agents from x402-factory.com, paid per call via x402, $0.02/call, status unknown (last checked 2026-09-14).
Returns live aggregated prediction-market probability for whether major federal AI regulation will become law in the current year, with per-venue breakdowns from Kalshi and Polymarket.
Price / call$0.02
Success—
StatusUnknown
How this service works
Paid data APIs for AI agents: prediction-market analytics, weather intelligence, weather×market edge signals, and SEC/gov data. Paid endpoints use the x402 protocol (HTTP 402 + USDC on Base): call without payment to receive requirements, retry with an X-PAYMENT header. Machine-readable catalog: /llms.txt. Per-endpoint docs: /docs/{id}.
Output
A JSON object with the aggregated implied probability across Kalshi and Polymarket, per-venue breakdowns (implied_p, market_id, 24h volume in USD, liquidity score), the divergence between venues, the last 1-hour price move, the topic question, resolution date, resolution criteria summary, and metadata including data freshness and request ID.
Example use cases
Policy risk briefing for AI startup
“What's the current probability that major federal AI regulation passes this year? I want to know the consensus across Kalshi and Polymarket, and whether the two markets are diverging significantly.”
Monitor hourly shifts in AI regulation odds
“Has the prediction market probability for federal AI regulation becoming law moved in the last hour? I want to track any meaningful shifts.”
Legislative risk signal for portfolio analysis
“Pull the latest implied probability that the US passes major AI legislation in 2026, including the 24-hour volume and liquidity scores from each venue, so I can assess regulatory risk exposure.”
Technical details
Endpoint
GEThttps://x402-factory.com/v1/evergreen/major-ai-regulation-federal-law-this-yearWhen to prefer
Use this endpoint when you need a real-time, aggregated, multi-venue prediction-market probability specifically for major federal AI regulation becoming law in the current year. Prefer this over manually querying Kalshi or Polymarket separately when you want normalized cross-venue divergence and liquidity scores in a single call. Best for AI policy monitoring, regulatory risk assessment, and legislative forecasting workflows that require machine-readable, paid-tier data freshness.
Side effects
- 402 Payment Required — call without X-PAYMENT header returns payment requirements in JSON, must retry with valid USDC payment on Base
- Market data unavailable if upstream Kalshi/Polymarket feeds are delayed or down
- Stale data if real-time feed is interrupted (check generated_at in meta)
- Malformed payment header results in payment rejection
- No schema input parameters — endpoint is fixed and takes no query parameters
Input
Schema · Request body
| Field | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
| properties | string |
Output
Schema · Response
{
"type": "json",
"example": {
"data": {
"slug": "federal-ai-regulation-law-2026",
"topic": "major-ai-regulation-federal-law-this-year",
"category": "science-tech",
"question": "Will major federal AI regulation become law in 2026?",
"per_venue": [
{
"venue": "kalshi",
"implied_p": 0.136,
"market_id": "KXFEDERALAIREGUL",
"volume_24h_usd": 27132.14,
"liquidity_score": 0.855
},
{
"venue": "polymarket",
"implied_p": 0.1092,
"market_id": "federal-ai-regulation-law-2026",
"volume_24h_usd": 39500.19,
"liquidity_score": 0.86
}
],
"divergence": 0.0268,
"probability": 0.1221,
"current_slug": "federal-ai-regulation-law-2026",
"last_move_1h": -0.0038,
"topic_question": "Will major federal AI regulation become law this year?",
"resolution_date": "2026-12-31",
"rolls_to_next_at": "2026-12-31",
"resolution_criteria_summary": "Resolves YES if a comprehensive federal AI bill is signed into law during 2026."
},
"meta": {
"docs": "https://x402-factory.com/docs/probability.evergreen.major-ai-regulation-federal-law-this-year",
"sources": [
"kalshi",
"polymarket"
],
"version": "1.0.0",
"endpoint": "/v1/evergreen/major-ai-regulation-federal-law-this-year",
"data_mode": "live",
"freshness": "realtime",
"request_id": "req_00000000",
"generated_at": "2026-08-21T03:58:58.090Z"
}
}
}Tags
x402
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